Commentary – August 22, 2017

Ceilings and Budgets and Shutdowns. Oh my!

TD Ameritrade Economic research discusses the upcoming need for congress to pass a budget and raise the debt ceiling. Humanitarian aid and rebuilding from the devastation left by Hurricane Harvey on the Gulf Coast is a critical need that congress will also have to address.

More Posts Like This

  • Investing & Recessions

    Our Outlook

    The problem with recessions is that earnings decline, and P/E multiples decline both at the same time. When these two metrics decline at about the same time, a significant market decline (drawdown) typically occurs. In the post WWII era, the worst drawdown occurred between December 2007 and June 2009 when the S&P 500 declined -57%. […]

  • Recession Signal?

    Our Outlook

    Over the past several decades, one of the most reliable economic indicators has been the shape of the US Treasury yield curve.  The yield curve is simply a graph of current yields on treasury bonds from the three-month T-Bill to the 30-year treasury bond. The normal shape of the yield curve from left to right […]