The S&P 500 finished down (-5.2%) in January, the worst start since a (-9.8%) loss in January 2009. Notable S&P 500 decliners in January included, Moderna (-33.3%), and Netflix (-29.1%).
The 30 stock Dow Jones Industrial Average saw its biggest declines in Cisco Systems (-12.1%), Home Depot (-11.5%), and Nike (-11.1%). Taking a sneak peek at February, Meta Platforms (formerly known as Facebook) fell (-26.3%) on one day after it posted earnings and weak guidance for the year.
January’s price declines helped valuations a bit, but overall, valuations are still high. This poses an extra challenge as the Fed winds down its bond buying program and raises rates starting (most likely) in March.
The chart below highlights recent prices, total returns (total return always includes dividends), dividend yields, and trailing and forward-looking P/E’s for several major indices.
Market |
Closing |
Closing |
YTD |
Yield |
Trailing |
Forward Estimate P/E |
S&P 500 |
4,766 | 4,515 | -5.2% | 1.3% | 24.5x | 20.3x |
DJIA |
36,338 | 35,131 | -3.2% | 1.9% | 20.6x |
19.4x |
S&P US Aggregate Bond Index | -1.9% | 2.0% |
|
*Statistics on S&P 500 index, DJIA index, and S&P US Aggregate Bond index from S&P Dow Jones Indices.
Disclaimer
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